Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.946304 4.695620 5.529127 6.522240 7.670359 8.952941 10.491073
2025-10-19 2.969355 3.961466 5.176932 6.763817 8.767757 11.199932 14.359221
2025-10-26 2.275894 3.344455 4.763323 6.759335 9.464251 12.967562 17.806744
2025-11-02 1.737913 2.784857 4.277696 6.518602 9.744155 14.156300 20.569459
2025-11-09 1.359247 2.357403 3.875357 6.289440 9.952822 15.206061 23.181332
2025-11-16 1.131069 2.105841 3.675431 6.301044 10.471449 16.697522 26.503509
2025-11-23 0.954473 1.899466 3.504225 6.316295 10.971832 18.178312 29.906044
2025-11-30 0.801544 1.701608 3.310249 6.256296 11.327300 19.445782 33.062971
2025-12-07 0.645207 1.464288 3.006848 5.960888 11.247782 19.999451 35.121803
2025-12-14 0.549670 1.325666 2.857774 5.911108 11.567223 21.208141 38.303569
2025-12-21 0.473491 1.211045 2.734677 5.888111 11.921846 22.490923 41.686680
2025-12-28 0.446414 1.198368 2.810240 6.249978 13.004835 25.097383 47.481459
2026-01-04 0.403461 1.142596 2.792638 6.433168 13.786048 27.260492 52.714282
2026-01-11 0.371900 1.108009 2.815259 6.700936 14.755731 29.837288 58.861498
2026-01-18 0.325398 1.025464 2.718682 6.705144 15.204493 31.490322 63.461121
2026-01-25 0.270945 0.908636 2.523658 6.468613 15.138401 32.167036 66.311364
2026-02-01 0.225887 0.806250 2.344851 6.241728 15.062930 32.809359 69.126331
2026-02-08 0.199284 0.751300 2.274146 6.253466 15.492184 34.461401 73.956740
2026-02-15 0.176324 0.701726 2.208859 6.268678 15.927731 36.152488 78.963462
2026-02-22 0.153480 0.646314 2.118302 6.209100 16.187585 37.500336 83.372810
2026-03-01 0.125950 0.566488 1.945104 5.915678 15.879141 37.642477 85.370827
2026-03-08 0.109974 0.523452 1.869828 5.866234 16.135445 38.989828 89.896217
2026-03-15 0.096801 0.487038 1.807715 5.843393 16.451881 40.485335 94.813309